The last time TUi based at LBA, it was a somewhat half hearted effort with all flights operated by Canadian partner Sunwing. According to LBA, it was , by some margin, their weakest base in terms of bookings, not helped by Sunwing's abysmal reliability and resultant poor publicity. They axed the base and sent our one based 737 to ABZ. It sort of summed up TUi at LBA in a nutshell. No real commitment and no real effort to make a real success of it. At the time, of course, they still had their happy base at DSA.
The problem now, of course, is that even if a new TUi business plan included an LBA base in an effort to grab some of the Jet2 customers, there isn't the night movement capacity available with current limits being used almost to capacity by what we already have. The airport have indicated their intentions to submit a planning application, which if successful, would remove that barrier, but for now, it's hard to aee any airline, including the orange one, signing a contract to base aircraft here. The terminal capacity remains an issue until completed, but the night movement slots limits are an even bigger issue that effectively restrict the number of based aircraft.
TUi could, of course, use other carriers and indeed, they have used several, including Ryanair, Sun Express and Freebird, but even that has proved troublesome, at least as far as flights to Turkey are concerned. Now, there are none!
So, much as I doubt TUi will ever put up much of a challenge at LBA we will have to wait and see what happens when, or if, LBA succeeds in updating its archaic night movement limits. By then, I suspect the final wheel will have fallen off the DSA2 bandwagon and TUi will have to just pay lip service to the Yorkshire market, or, give it a real go at LBA.