Maybe slightly optimistic, BUT!
I think Ryanair will take more of the EXT slice of cake prior to next summer. My gut feeling will be Tenerife and Faro and interestingly Naples is still on their booking system but no flights shown... maybe they are planning on giving that another go?
considering the current climate the Alicante and Malaga load has been almost double what BRS has had on the Saturday and Sunday flight. (Although I’m aware there are daily flights from Bristol). But still this has to be positive? if anyone is going to make a success of EXT Ryanair is our only hope!
TUI have had an aircraft based at EXT year round for as long as I can remember- I’m not sure what the offering is from them next summer but I should imagine that they will continue to base 1 738 next year. I would of thought next summer will more than likely be a stupidly busy one for them. I for one am flying with them for 3 holidays next year! I will not fly from BRS, even if you paid me!
aer lingus was an interesting arrival to the airport- but after my visit last week 67 odd pax on the inbound in 40 odd on the outbound- maybe Dublin could be on its way?
blue islands will for sure succeed at EXT and given time I think will become the next Flybe! They are committed to basing some ATR’s at the airport with a engineering arm present and their offering in terms of value for money is far better than that of Flybe’s. Using the EXT- MAN route 4-5 times a year Im glad blue islands took this route back on!
I’m also lead to believe there is a buyer for capital- or their fleet at least! Let’s hope they stay at EXT!
as I said from the start maybe slightly optimistic but the loads given the current circumstances to me look positive!
Some good points - thank you for raising them.
Ryanair do tend to leave discontinued routes in their booking engine for a long time.
I take it you are comparing loads to AGP and ALC from seat selector details, unless of course you have 'inside' information. With Spain suddenly put into the quarantine list BRS to those resorts was left heavily over-provided with FR flying more than once daily on some days and easyJet going daily as well. It will be interesting to see the August CAA route passenger stats when they are eventually published.
Those numbers for Aer Lingus are excellent in the present circumstances.
Next year is of course a dip into the unknown right across the aviation industry at present. The most optimistic industry projections seem to be no more than 75% of 2019's passenger figures, but many aviation people believe it will be considerably less, with 2019's volumes not seen again until 2023/2024.
I've been looking back at the major recession of the mid to late 'noughties' and the detailed airport figures confirm what I believed to be the case which was that recovery was not evenly spread, with some airports affected far worse than others and taking much longer to recover. Even those that escaped the recession effects fairly lightly did not recover at the same pace. There are three UK airports in the top 20 measured by passenger volume that have still not returned to the annual passenger figures they saw pre-recession eleven or twelve years ago.
EXT of course is just outside the top 20 and was one of the more seriously recession-affected airports seeing a 30% decline in its passenger numbers between 2008 and 2012. It did manage to get back above its pre-recession total for the first time last year which, as you will know, was a record 12-monthly total for the airport but it has taken nearly a decade to do so.
I think that EXT is now in a much better postion to negate many of the vicissitudes it, like all airports, will encounter from time to time and would not have suffered so greatly from the recession had it then possessed its current business model.
As a matter of interest why don't you like Bristol Airport?